My organisation has a culture of gut-feel macho decision-making
       
      
      
         
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        Leads to 
    		- Poor decisions that ignore important opportunities and risks in complex  and unfamiliar situations .
 Possible Causes
    		- Lack of awareness of when and why a more deliberate approach can add value. A belief that complexity and uncertainty make structured analysis intractable.
 Potential Solution
    		- Identify one or two important decisions where a gut-feel approach  may not be working well, especially complex and unfamiliar situations, and try a more deliberate analytic approach. If the organization has limited in-house decision analysis skills, bring in an experienced consultant to assist in conducting the process.